Jan. 5th, 2006

Lazenious

Jan. 5th, 2006 09:14 pm
c9: (tartan)
Scenario

Cam wants to make his journal available to longtime friends and parents who are perhaps unaware of some of the seedier aspects of his life, or perhaps don't need to read descriptions of certain acts and/or body parts. He wants to friends-only any such posts. He doesn't want to actually reread his entire journal to ensure he got them all. He decides to have a contest wherein his LJ friends do the work for him. As a reward for any found entries, he promises to take and post a picture of anything they want, with the caveat of nothing visible that network television would refuse to show.

Question

Is this lazy ([livejournal.com profile] leapfish's opinion) or ingenious ([livejournal.com profile] c9's opinion) ?

I will update this post with the results of your vote, possibly activating this contest dealie.

So far there appears to be one vote for ingenious. Or at least, one person willing to participate. Update: You can ignore 1998-2003.
c9: (politics)
[livejournal.com profile] c9's Pretty Clearly Left-Leaning Riding Write-ups!

Riding: Fredericton
Map: http://www.elections.ca/scripts/pss/maps/P13003.pdf
More info on your riding

Riding 13003, Fredericton, has 82,782 residents (2001 census). About eight per cent listed French as their mother tongue. About five per cent are immigrants.

Government is the riding's biggest employer. Nearly 17 per cent of residents have a university degree, while 8.6 per cent are unemployed. The average family income is $61,324.

Liberal incumbent Andy Scott won again in 2004. Scott caused a political upset in this riding in 1993. He is now minister of Indian affairs and northern development. Since 1957, this had been solid Tory country, held by just three MPs: Chester MacRae (1957-72), Robert Howie (1972-88), and Bud Bird (1988-93). Scott unseated Bird by more than 8,000 votes in the 1993 election. Scott hung on to power in a closer race in 1997, and in 2000 earned a third term by defeating Tory Raj Venugopal by 3,256 votes.

(writeup above primarily from cbc.ca)

2006 Candidates:
David Raymond Amos (Independent)
John Carty (New Democratic Party)
Philip Duchastel (Green Party of Canada)
Pat Lynch (Conservative Party of Canada)
Andy Scott (Liberal Party of Canada) (incumbent)

Recent Election Results:
	LIB	CPC	PC	CA	REF	NDP	OTHER
2004	46.8%	33.5%				17.4%	2.4%
2000	38.6%		29.7%	24.0%		7.0%	0.6%
1997	34.1%		30.2%		21.8%	13.1%	0.9%

Prior to 1997, the area's MP was: Liberal (1993-1997), PC (1957-1993).

The NDP and Liberal candidates are the same as in 2004. For the Liberals it's a no-brainer, as Andy Scott is quite popular. Between Cabinet popularity and the benefits he's brought Fredericton, he's only been getting more popular. Check out the total conservative vote in 2000 (PC+CA) compared to the CPC in 2004! Fredericton is very conservative though, in its voters. The students go home to vote usually, so anger against the Liberals could bubble up and cause a problem. If it was just a two-way race, Scott would still win. But the NDP vote was high last time, and the candidate is back. Some people think that strategic voting is less likely this time, since more people understand the problems with it. I'd say it all depends on the polls the weekend before election day. If a Tory victory is likely, the NDP support will drop, and Andy will win. If a Liberal victory is likely, the NDP will do better, and the Tory just might squeak in. I'd bet a nickel on Andy one more time.

www.electionprediction.org says: Too close to call!

In this riding, the Liberal typically wins. If you are scared to give an inch to the Conservatives anywhere, then vote Liberal here. The Tories will almost assuredly be second.

Hot Issue: Equal Marriage. The incumbent is supportive. Bizarrely, he was attacked (bashed, if you will) and sent to hospital in 2003 over the Liberal government's support for equal marriage.


Explanations and non-riding-specific information )

Disclaimer: Your vote is your choice. If you think I'm wrong go ahead and (a) comment about it, and (b) vote your heart. I can take it.

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