c9: (politics)
[personal profile] c9
1. Vote!
Hardly any excuse for not voting is good enough beyond medical emergency, IMHO.

2. Rob Hyndman's very pretty blog reminds us that posting comments that reference results of the election before the polls have closed coast to coast is illegal in Canada. Andrew Coyne sneakily suggests reporting hypothetical results of an election featuring Fascists, Crooks, Commies, and Traitors. :)

3. The final predictions:
Fascists
Crooks
Commies
Traitors
Ipsos Reid (midpoints)
150
64
36
58
PinnacleSports.com
146
74
31
57
ElectionPolls
141
79
30
58
The Correct Answer
140
81
31
54
Trendlines.ca
140
71
36
60
LISPOP
140
78
33
56
Loblaw Election Pool
136
89
26
57
jord.ca
135
72
38
62
UBC Election Market
128
93
31
55
democraticSPACE.com
125
97
29
56
ElectionPrediction.org
118
104
29
56

Date: 2006-01-22 11:27 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] keenman.livejournal.com
But my, the fascists are awfully close on that Ipsos-Reid poll. When you're talking 1 to 2% of the voting population could make the difference between a minority and majority government, that's rather unnerving. I'm glad I voted how I did. It'd be really cool to see the NDP with twice as many seats though.

It'd be slighly amusing if ElectionPrediction.org's results came true -- then no one could form a government without the support of the Bloc. (Odd fact of the night: an old gay acquaintance of mine from Waterloo, Milton Chan, actually started up ElectionPrediction.org.)

I've really got to remember to change my riding before the next election to somewhere I can potentially make a difference. Why can't we just get proportional representation already?

BTW, thanks for all the posts on the different ridings; I thought the profiles well done and interesting.

Date: 2006-01-23 04:29 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] c9.livejournal.com
It'll really be OK. Ipsos is a bit scary, but the support is so concentrated in the west even in 2006 that their seat count won't be that high. Normally it on;y takes an 8% lead to get a majority (historically), but even that 10% lead won't do it this time. Plus, Ontario is doing its normal panic-about-the-right-wing thing. Not as much as last time, but enough to kill the majority.

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