c9: (Default)
[personal profile] c9
Same-sex marriage is safe. Everybody breathe.

Harper has 124 seats, and 6-10 of those are queer-positive MPs.

NDP has 29, all queer-positive.

Bloc has 51, most queer-positive. Last time, they voted 43-5 in favour, with 6 abstaining.

Liberals have 103, most queer-positive. If at least 75 of them vote for equality, same-sex marriage is safe. Last time they voted 95-32 in favour.

Additionally, Stephen Harper is a smart guy. He knows that far-right social policies do not get one elected in Canada, and that when he calls his free vote on same-sex marriage he basically needs to lose. Otherwise it's scary Conservatives again. He wants fiscal changes and Conservative power, not ultra-right-wing social policies. Yes, some of his MPs have a different agenda, but he does not.

I'm not too nervous.

I hope.

Date: 2006-01-24 11:39 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
I'm not quite as confident. There are enough "unknowns" to make it hard to tally.

But I hope you're bang on!

Date: 2006-01-25 05:31 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] nihilicious.livejournal.com
That was me!

August 2015

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