How Did Cam's Predictions Turn Out?
Jan. 24th, 2006 01:38 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
c9I made various predictions in various places. Here's how I did:
1. Green won't win a set. Correct
2. The NDP, as much as I want them to get back to 40+ seats right now, will not do even 28. Wrong, happily.
3. (December) The Liberals will either win a ten-or-less-seat minority, or the Tories will win a 10-or-less-seat minority. Wrong, but the difference is only 21 seats, still fairly low.
4. Martin's gone. Correct
5. Harper's staying. Correct
6. Jack Layton's staying. Correct
7. I want to say that the Bloc will only do 55 if we're lucky, but I suspect it will approach 60. Wrong, happily.
8. (January) Conservative minority or maybe even majority. Correct
9. Liberal attack ads would either win the election or be mocked for decades to come. Correct (the latter)
Riding Profiles:
1. Kitchener Centre: I didn't explicitly predict, but kinda thought Liberal. Correct
2. Fredericton: I said Liberal. Correct
3. Kitchener—Waterloo: I didn't explicitly predict, but kinda thought Liberal. Correct
4. Vancouver Centre: I didn't predict, and had no idea. Hedy Fry won, BTW.
5. Western Arctic: I said NDP. Correct
6. Halifax: I said NDP. Correct
7. Prince Edward—Hastings: I said Conservative. Correct
8. Thunder Bay—Rainy River: I didn't predict, and had no idea. Boshcoff (Lib) won.
9. Skeena—Bulkley Valley: I said NDP. Correct
10. Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie: I said Bloc. Correct
11. Calgary Centre: I said Conservative. Correct
12. Nepean—Carleton: I said Conservative. Correct
13. Westmount—Ville-Marie: I said Liberal. Correct. Holy crap, the BQ came fourth here.
14. Tobique-Mataquac: I said Conservative. Correct
15. Kitchener—Conestoga: I said Conservative. Correct
16. Toronto—Danforth: I said NDP. Correct
17. Ottawa West—Nepean: I said Conservative. Correct
18. Trinity—Spadina: I said NDP. Correct
(looks up)
Wow. I didn't mean for this to be a "Cam rocks" post, I thought I had fucked up far more of my predictions. Maybe I should find a high-paying political strategist job. I'm sure that's stable employment.
1. Green won't win a set. Correct
2. The NDP, as much as I want them to get back to 40+ seats right now, will not do even 28. Wrong, happily.
3. (December) The Liberals will either win a ten-or-less-seat minority, or the Tories will win a 10-or-less-seat minority. Wrong, but the difference is only 21 seats, still fairly low.
4. Martin's gone. Correct
5. Harper's staying. Correct
6. Jack Layton's staying. Correct
7. I want to say that the Bloc will only do 55 if we're lucky, but I suspect it will approach 60. Wrong, happily.
8. (January) Conservative minority or maybe even majority. Correct
9. Liberal attack ads would either win the election or be mocked for decades to come. Correct (the latter)
Riding Profiles:
1. Kitchener Centre: I didn't explicitly predict, but kinda thought Liberal. Correct
2. Fredericton: I said Liberal. Correct
3. Kitchener—Waterloo: I didn't explicitly predict, but kinda thought Liberal. Correct
4. Vancouver Centre: I didn't predict, and had no idea. Hedy Fry won, BTW.
5. Western Arctic: I said NDP. Correct
6. Halifax: I said NDP. Correct
7. Prince Edward—Hastings: I said Conservative. Correct
8. Thunder Bay—Rainy River: I didn't predict, and had no idea. Boshcoff (Lib) won.
9. Skeena—Bulkley Valley: I said NDP. Correct
10. Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie: I said Bloc. Correct
11. Calgary Centre: I said Conservative. Correct
12. Nepean—Carleton: I said Conservative. Correct
13. Westmount—Ville-Marie: I said Liberal. Correct. Holy crap, the BQ came fourth here.
14. Tobique-Mataquac: I said Conservative. Correct
15. Kitchener—Conestoga: I said Conservative. Correct
16. Toronto—Danforth: I said NDP. Correct
17. Ottawa West—Nepean: I said Conservative. Correct
18. Trinity—Spadina: I said NDP. Correct
(looks up)
Wow. I didn't mean for this to be a "Cam rocks" post, I thought I had fucked up far more of my predictions. Maybe I should find a high-paying political strategist job. I'm sure that's stable employment.
