Profile 8: Thunder Bay—Rainy River
Jan. 14th, 2006 09:42 amRiding: Thunder Bay—Rainy River
Map: http://www.elections.ca/scripts/pss/maps/P35090.pdf
More info on your riding
Riding 35090, Thunder Bay—Rainy River, contains several native reserves and the aboriginal population is more than five per cent.Manufacturing and grain transportation are among the main industries in the riding. Average family income is $64,415 and unemployment is 9.1 per cent.
In 2004, Liberal Ken Boshcoff defeated New Democrat John Rafferty and Conservative David Leskowski.
Thunder Bay-Atikokan and its predecessor riding of Fort William voted Liberal from 1935 to 1980. The last elected Tory was R.J. Manion, who won in 1925, 1926 and 1930. Liberal Paul McRae held the seat from 1972 (when it was Fort William) to 1984 (when it was Thunder Bay-Atikokan).
In 1984 and 1988, New Democrat Iain Angus was elected. Liberal Stan Dromisky served three terms between 1993 and 2004.
(writeup above primarily from cbc.ca)
2006 Candidates:
Russ Aegard (Green Party of Canada)
Ken Boshcoff (Liberal Party of Canada) (incumbent)
David Leskowski (Conservative Party of Canada)
Doug MacKay (Marijuana Party)
John Rafferty (New Democratic Party)
Recent Election Results:
LIB CPC PC CA REF NDP OTHER 2004 39.4% 26.3% 29.7% 4.6% 2000 37.0% 11.8% 29.3% 19.5% 2.5% 1997 42.7% 16.3% 16.8% 24.2%Prior to 1997, the area's MP was: Liberal (1993-present), NDP (1984-1993), and Liberal (1935-1984).
Likely due to union strength, the NDP are first or second in this riding. The Green, NDP, Liberal and Conservative candidates from 2004 are all running again, so experience isn't much of a factor. With Liberal support dropping in Ontario, and a strong NDP showing, this is a real three-way horse race.
www.electionprediction.org says: Liberal, but close. I wouldn't be surprised to have them change this to "Too close to call" soon.
In this riding, the NDP will likely come in second. Voting for them could give them the riding, but voting Liberal could give them the riding. Vote with your heart, strategically approaching this one is pointless unless local polls show a strong bias.
Hot Issue: Equal Marriage. The incumbent is not very supportive, with C from Egale Canada.
( Explanations and non-riding-specific information )
Disclaimer: Your vote is your choice. If you think I'm wrong go ahead and (a) comment about it, and (b) vote your heart. I can take it.