So I'm all nutso over the US election and have lots of information in my head, but you might not. Here's a handy set of info and links in case you're not doing something (anything!) more interesting tonight.
Most important: California is voting on a referendum to make all same-sex marriages illegal, destroy the existing ones in the state, and amend the state constitution to prevent any equality in marriage. This despite the legislature (twice), the governor, and the courts all agreeing with equality. Sadly, it's a toss-up, and could go either way. This could be a big setback for equal marriage in the US. California polls close at 11pm Eastern.
Some sites to surf while the TV is talking about boring things:
- polling, predictions, and explanations of every race. Baseball stats guy uses power for good instead of boring.
- Andrew S. Tanenbaum (yes, that one for the CS crowd) does election predicting. Interesting stuff, poor HTML.
- lots of news and links, seems roughly impartial as far as I can tell
- fun electoral college-proportional maps
- live results, very frequent updates, heavily left-wing site (for Canada, this would be a slightly-left-of-centre Liberal site)
- frequent updates, very large fonts, heavily left-wing site
- gay right-wing war-booster who realized a few years back that he'd made a horrid mistake, and now spends all day hating Bush. Obama supporter, but still right-wing, flat-tax, war-on-terror-just-maybe-
If you want to spot things early, here are the states to watch:
- North Carolina: if it goes Obama, he'll probably win a huge victory
- Florida/Virginia: if Obama wins either, this would basically make a McCain win impossible. If McCain wins both, the electoral map could be repeating history and all the inspiration talk meant nothing. Could be a long night.
- Pennsylvania: McCain can't win without it, in almost every scenario.
This all depends on the polling over the past few months being reasonably accurate. If there's a 5% Bradley Effect (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_Effect
), the whole game changes.
CTV: Daily Show / Colbert Report special, starts at 10pm EST
CNN: holograms. WTF?
NBC: transforms Rockefeller Plaza’s ice rink into a giant U.S. map
ABC: takes over three massive screens in Times Square to display results in real time
Some Predictions: (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/11/02/election-predictions-pund_n_140149.html
Karl Rove, Evil Genius: Obama 338-200
George Stephanopoulos, ABC News Anchor: Obama 353-185
Mark Halperin, Time editor: Obama 349-189
Nate Silver, fivethirtyeight.com statistician: Obama 347-191
Fred Barnes, Weekly Standard editor: McCain 286-252 (ha!)
Markos Moulitas, DailyKos founder: Obama 390-148 (also ha!)
... and many more at the link above. Only one had Obama losing, and the Weekly Standard is not considered to be an unbiased source. Visit here to build your own prediction map for your blog: http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-votemap,0,2338623.htmlstory
Finally, a word of caution: it's not over until the voters actually have their votes counted. If things go nasty tonight (which seems unlikely), please remain calm and await instructions from your flight crew. Things will be OK. Although, in the words of Chris Rock: "if you have anything in your life Wednesday that involves black people, that shit ain't getting done."
(I think it was Chris Rock, but I can't find a link)
See you on the other side,